Housing Markets that will be strongest by 2014
Where will prices rebound most by state? (I'll give you a little hint...Washington is #1)
A housing market rebound seems tenuous following the expiration of the home buyer tax credit, and consumer confidence remains weak due to lackluster employment, but David Stiff, chief economist at Fiserv, says the bottom is near. Home Prices in the U.S. have declined 29.5 percent over the past four years, according to the Fiserv Case-Shiller Indexes. Stiff says prices should form a trough early next year, when median prices will be down an estimated 32.9 percent from the 2006 peak.
Top 10 Housing Markets That Will Be Strongest by 2014:
1. Washington Current median price: $245,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q1
Median family income: $69,900
Population: 240,860
TheBremerton-Silverdale area , on Puget Sound's Kitsap Peninsula, has the highest growth forecast of all MSAs in the country, with prices expected to jump 44.7 percent by 2014, according to Fiserv. Cathy Doney, general manger for Reid Real Estate in Silverdale , says the waterfront community has benefited from government employment, which has helped sustain the job market, and attracted buyers looking to live close to Seattle at a lower cost. Washington's second-strongest market is Tacoma, with a growth rate expected to be 33.1 percent.
Prices in the Seattle area are expected to grow 25.5 percent by 2014.
2. Oregon
Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Bend, Metro
Forecast 4-year price increase: 33.6 percent
Current median price: $144,533*
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q1
Median family income: $58,200
Population: 158,630
3. Michigan
Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Detroit-Livonia-Dearborn metro
Forecast 4-year price increase: 33.1 percent
Current median price: $51,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q2
Median family income: $54,400
Population: 1,925,850
4. California
Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Napa metro
Forecast 4-year price increase: 31.7 percent
Current median price: $355,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q4
Median family income: $79,600
Population: 134,650
5. Nevada
Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Carson City metro
Forecast 4-year price increase: 31.6 percent
Current median price: $141,524*
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q2
Median family income: $63,100
Population: 55,180
6. Florida
Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Panama City-Lynn Haven-Panama City Beach metro
Forecast 4-year price increase: 26.9 percent
Current median price: $158,669*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q3
Median family income: $53,800
Population: 164,770
7. Arizona
Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Flagstaff metro
Forecast 4-year price increase: 26 percent
Current median price: $278,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q3
Median family income: $56,700
Population: 129,850
Forecast 4-year price increase: 25.8 percent
Current median price: $197,601*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q3
Median family income: $64,300
Population: 147,530
9. Wyoming
Current median price: $106,602*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q1
Median family income: $62,600
Population: 88,850
10. Alaska
Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Anchorage metro
Current median price: $177,699*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q1
Median family income: $77,700
Population: 374,550
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